Archive forAugust, 2009

What’s Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week : August 31, 2009

Mortgage rates will react to the non-farm payrolls report Sept 4 2009Mortgage markets were flat last week overall, although mortgage rates were somewhat volatile from day-to-day.

For rate shoppers, the best pricing was available Monday morning and Friday afternoon — everything in between was slightly elevated.

It’s the second consecutive week in which rates finished unchanged.

There was a string of good news last week about the economy, led by housing.  New Home Sales, Existing Home Sales, and the Case-Shiller Index all surprised to the high-side and consumer confidence numbers came in higher-than-expected, too.

In prior weeks, strong data like this would have caused mortgage rates to rise.  Last week, however, it didn’t.  Mostly because foreign demand for mortgage-backed bonds has remained strong.

This week, there’s only one major data release and its timing may prove to be problematic.

Friday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the August Non-Farm Payrolls report.  With housing’s rebound seemingly underway, the jobs report takes on added significance.  Joblessness can undermine consumer confidence and spending and cause harm to the recovering U.S. economy.

This is one reason why rate shoppers should be cautious toward the end of the week — the jobs report will move markets.  The other reason to be cautious is because Friday is the day before Labor Day and Wall Street will be short-staffed.

Fewer traders means more volatility — if rates start to pop, they’ll really pop.

Chris is Florida’s #1 FHA Mortgage Broker and a syndicated mortgage blogger. He is regular contributor to the three leading industry blog-fronts including The Mortgage Chili Blog, My FHA Mortgage Blog, Top of Mind Networks, and is the resident “Money Guy” on Realty Resolve.

Chris can be found at
Orlando FHA Loans,
Chris[at]OrlandoMortgagePro[dot]com,
or by calling 407.377.0500 x 210

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Home Supplies Plummet, Putting Pressure On Home Prices To Rise

New Homes supply July 2009It’s no wonder that — their inventory of homes for sale is depleting at a furious pace.

For the 4th straight month, New Home Sales gained, posting the best numbers since last September’s meltdown and handily beating economist expectations.

The available supply of homes is nationwide.

It’s further evidence that the housing market may have bottomed at some point this past spring.

To be sure, the strong housing data is, in part, a reaction to three outside factors:

  1. Low mortgage rates
  2. An expiring government tax credit
  3. Hefty builder incentives

But, buyers are buyers and the clearing out of outstanding inventory provides terrific support for home prices.  It also gives them reason to rise. 

Coupled with the numbers from July, therefore, this months’ New Homes Sale report may be a signal that the Buyers’ Market is ending and the Sellers’ Market is beginning.

If you’re planning to buy a home this year or next, it may be time to get a move on. Wait too long, and prices may be up.

Chris is Florida’s #1 FHA Mortgage Broker and a syndicated mortgage blogger. He is regular contributor to the three leading industry blog-fronts including The Mortgage Chili Blog, My FHA Mortgage Blog, Top of Mind Networks, and is the resident “Money Guy” on Realty Resolve.

Chris can be found at
Orlando FHA Loans,
Chris[at]OrlandoMortgagePro[dot]com,
or by calling 407.377.0500 x 210

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